Tradecraft – Playing It Safe

WHETHER YOU’RE RUNNING a trust account worth billions or a bank account worth considerably less, there are times when you just want to play it safe. Maybe you’ve grown less tolerant of risk. Maybe you’ve got a major expense coming up or are just sick of seeing your account balance drop.

Whatever the reason, it’s okay to downshift your risk from time to time — as long as you do it right. For most people, “playing it safe” means selling their entire portfolio and stuffing their assets into a seemingly risk-free investment — most likely a CD or money-market or savings account. But even leaving aside the tax bite that comes with selling long-term positions, stuffing your money in the proverbial mattress is a losing move.

There’s no such thing as a free ride. Savings accounts and CDs are insured, but you’re paying for every bit of that safety in the form of mediocre returns. Even uninsured money-market funds are paying a record low 1.35% interest. The return becomes even more depressing after taxes. (more…)

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Tradecraft – The Hard Facts

WHETHER YOU’RE MANAGING hundreds of millions or just hundreds, at the end of the day, investing is about making money. And too often we forget that the majority of a portfolio’s return comes not from market timing or security selection, but asset allocation. So for a moment — just a moment — put down your price/earnings ratios, chuck the charts and forget Fibonacci. Don’t think like a prognosticator, but a portfolio manager. As the past few months have demonstrated, consistent returns that outpace inflation are an achievement that only a well-diversified portfolio can provide.

Stocks are one asset class most people are familiar with. And as a result of the recent run-up, more investors are now getting into bonds as well. But there’s another major asset class that’s routinely overlooked even by most financial professionals. Hard assets not only increase diversification, but can boost returns as well.

According to a 1999 study by Ibbotson Associates, adding hard assets to a diversified portfolio has historically increased returns while reducing risk. That’s largely because hard assets are noncorrelated with the stock market. In other words, when the Dow zigs, hard assets tend to zag. And although hard assets are traditionally seen as suitable only for high rollers, the research demonstrates they can benefit both low- and high-risk portfolios alike. (more…)

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