Tradecraft – Three Cheers for Short Sellers

WHEN THE PUBLIC is in the market, they’re always long the market, and during those periods when the market falls, the masses invariably go looking for someone to blame. Because they appear to profit at the public’s expense, no scapegoat is more popular, or unfairly vilified, than the short seller.

It’s almost as if one of the freedoms inherent in a capitalist democracy, specifically the ability to buy stocks we feel are due to rise and sell those we feel are due to fall, isn’t extended to short sellers. Their activities are often characterized as immoral, unethical and downright un-American.

For a long time, of course, they were just downright unprofitable. During the mid- and late-1990s, short sellers like Manuel Asensio or bears like Jim Grant were seen as old-fashioned heretics, steadfastly refusing to accept the fact that we were in a new paradigm where historical oddities like interest rates or valuation no longer mattered. The fact that the shorts were losing hundreds of millions of dollars as the market rocketed higher didn’t seem to bother anyone. After all, it was their poor judgment to bet against the market to begin with. Indeed, guys like Charles Allmon, Robert Prechter and David Tice were frumpy, charming leftovers from a bygone era that, until last year’s precipitous decline, seemed as if it would never return.

But these days, with short sellers reaping huge profits from declining markets, they have become Public Enemy No. 2. A cursory scan of the popular message boards will yield more than a few examples of antishort sentiment. (more…)

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Thought of the Day (October 25, 2009)

Being busy does not always mean real work. The object of all work is production or accomplishment and to either of these ends there must be forethought, system, planning, intelligence, and honest purpose, as well as perspiration. Seeming to do is not doing.

– Thomas Alva Edison

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Thought of the Day (October 24, 2009)

Trading is the greatest profession in the world because you have total freedom, you are your own boss, it’s different every day and you meet some of the nicest people in the world and your success can be limitless.

– Larry Pesavento

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Thought of the Day (October 23, 2009)

Consistency is a major key to investment success. And consistency means first to preserve capital, second to have consistent profits, and then third to build wealth.

– Mike Moody

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