Thought of the Day (January 13, 2010)

When we notice the impulse to trade based on strong fear, it is usually best to literally step out of the trap by stepping out of the situation.

We need to get up, walk away from the computer and television, take a walk, get a diet soda, go outside and water the plants, or do anything else that will move us out of the fear/panic mode.

Don’t return to the computer until you have managed to achieve some emotional control over your fear/panic reaction. If you can’t get a grip on your fear, then don’t come back that day.

Most likely you will find that even if you keep thinking about the miserable market conditions while you water the planters, simply getting away from the keyboard and monitor is enough to make a difference. It removes the demand to take action and gives you the mental space to gain perspective and let go of your knee jerk sell reaction.

– Steven Hendlin, The Disciplined Online Investor

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Thought of the Day (January 12, 2010)

It was never my thinking that made big money for me. It was my sitting. Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. I found it one of the hardest things to learn. But it is only after this that a stock operator can make big money. it is literally true that millions come easier to a trader after he knows how to trade than hundreds did in the days of ignorance.

– Jesse Livermore, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

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Tradecraft – Only the Strong Survive

PEOPLE LIKE TO ASK ME questions about the markets, whether I’m appearing on cable television or gabbing at a cocktail party. Is Dow 7000 cheap, or are we heading for a capitulation low? Is it time to buy tech stocks like Oracle (ORCL) and Cisco (CSCO), or short them even further into the single digits?

Here’s the thing: It doesn’t really matter what I think. It matters what they think.

As we’ve pointed out before, good trading is built more on sober technique than hot stock tips. Investors must be confident enough to take a position, yet humble enough to abandon it just the same. After all, the market is constantly changing, and no matter how good our analysis might be, we can always be wrong. Whether you’re Abby Joseph Cohen or Ms. Cleo, the future is always unknowable and largely out of our control.

But while we can’t change the market, we can alter our position within it. And I can’t stress enough that the most important aspect of any trading decision is never the condition of the market, but rather that of your own position. For active managers not content to buy and hope, the trick is to be constantly moving toward a position of strength, both within an individual trade and within the marketplace at large. Just like basketball, chess or any other activity that requires focus, you know you’re in the “zone” of trading when you start playing for position, not for points. (more…)

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Thought of the Day (January 11, 2010)

You get a sense of control with entry signals because the point at which you choose to enter the market is the point at which the market is doing exactly what you want it to do. As a result, you feel like you have some control, not just over your entry, but over the market. Unfortunately once you are in a position in the market, the market is going to do whatever it wants to do-you no longer have any control over anything except your exits.

– Van Tharp, Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom

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Thought of the Day (January 10, 2010)

Keeping good records is the single most important contribution to your success. If you maintain scrupulous records, review them, and learn from them, your performance will improve. If your money management is in place to ensure survival during the learning process, you’re sure to become a success.

Records are more important to your success than any indicator, system, or technical tool. Even the best system is bound to have some holes, but good records will allow you to find them and plug them up. A person who keeps detailed records makes a huge leap in his development as a trader.

Show me a trader with good records, and I’ll show you a good trader.

– Alexander Elder, Come Into My Trading Room

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Thought of the Day (January 9, 2010)

Traders hate to think about discipline. After all, it’s not as sexy as just becoming a market gunslinger. But the bottom line is that most of us don’t follow our own rules. This is ironic, because the folks who ignore the reasons they lose money are the same ones who spend thousands of dollars attending trading seminars. Personal discipline is the one thing you can’t learn sitting in an audience.

– Alan Farley, The Profitable Trader

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Thought of the Day (January 8, 2010)

Imagine that a stranger walks into your driveway and tries to sell you an automatic system for driving your car. Just pay a few hundred dollars for a computer chip, install it in your car, and stop wasting energy on driving, he says. You can take a nap in the driver’s seat while the “Easy Swing System” whisks you to work. You would probably laugh the salesman out of your driveway. But would you laugh if he tried to sell you an automatic trading system?

Traders who believe in the autopilot myth think that the pursuit of wealth can be automated. Some try to develop an automatic trading system while others buy one from the experts. Men [and presumably women] who have spent years honing their skills as lawyers, doctors, or businessmen plunk down thousands of dollars for canned competence. They are driven by greed, laziness, and mathematical illiteracy.

– Alexander Elder, Trading For A Living

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