Thought of the Day (February 21, 2010)

Accepting losses is the most important single imvestment device to insure safety of capital. It is also the action that most people know the least about and that they are least liable to execute. I’ve been studying investments, giving investment advice and actually investing since 1921. I haven’t found the real key yet and don’t ever expect to, as no one has found it before me, but I have learned a great many things. The most important single thing I learned is that accepting losses promptly is the first key to success.

– Gerald Loeb, The Battle for Investment Survival

Tagged with:
 

Thought of the Day (February 20, 2010)

You’ve got to earn money in the markets to be able to keep it from the markets. For example, if a trader who takes on large position risks makes a bundle of money, he will eventually lose it all because the manner in which he made the money will also be the way in which he loses it all. To earn money in the markets you must trade conservatively with your capital and limit your equity and position risks; when your positions start to show profits you must let those positions run up.

– William Eng, Trading Rules II

Tagged with:
 

Thought of the Day (February 19, 2010)

Avoiding the emotional pain of regret causes you to sell winners too soon and hold on to losers too long.

– John Nofsinger, Investment Madness

Tagged with:
 

Tradecraft – How to Avoid Bear Traps

BY DEFINITION, TRADING is about assuming risk. Like walking a tightrope or having unprotected sex, it only takes one trading misstep to wreck your life. This is a game that should be played carefully at all times.

Although the market is always unpredictable, trading technique can be controlled. To that end, I’ve observed (and, cough cough, committed) a number of common trading traps that will doom an account regardless of what the market does. In hindsight, I’ve learned that most of the frequent mistakes are also the easiest to avoid.

As Sun Tzu observed, the battle is won or lost before the fighting even begins. If you trade for money, let me assure you that the undercapitalized trader is trapped no, absolutely doomed, from the start. It’s not that the game is rigged against the little guy, but rather that there’s an inherent cost to trading. If you have no savings, hold high-interest debt or possess only a few hundred dollars to your name, my advice would be to invest nothing. If you can’t pay, you can’t play. No matter how good your stock-picking prowess, everybody needs to have a financial ark.

The most obvious cost in trading, of course, is the commission. Even at discount rates, this expense adds up quickly for active traders. A less-often considered cost is peace of mind. Plenty of people insist on trading with money they can’t afford to lose. Because the thought of a loss is so psychologically uncomfortable, they essentially hang themselves, ending up with big losses because they were too scared to take small ones. (more…)

Thought of the Day (February 18, 2010)

The losing trader cannot tolerate the stress of a changing market. While focused on disaster, it is difficult to process useful information and to trade wisely. Stress also reduces the ability to make decisions. As the trader loses, anxiety intensifies, producing behavior that may multiply losses. The losing trader increasingly relies on others because of anxiety and cannot make independent decision.

Another response to loss is to repeat oneself, to make more of the same efforts rather than to step back and reassess. The losing trader keeps trading the same stocks in the same way. Reliance on memories of past trading experiences and remaining stuck in an old trading style keep one from seeing what is happening today.

– Ari Kiev

Tagged with:
 

Tradecraft – He Who Hesitates Is Lost

IF SUCCESSFUL INVESTING was simply about doing your homework, then we’d all be rich. Truth be told, it’s not how skillfully you interpret information, but how you deal with the lack of it that really matters. To that end, I try to react to the market, not predict it’s every move. Regardless, if you’re buying or selling, I’m from the school that says trade first and ask questions later.

When it comes to making a trade, it’s human instinct to want certainty. I’m selling XYZ because it released poor earnings. I’m buying XYZ because its new product is in demand. The only problem: Markets anticipate news, rather than reflect it. By the time the “news” is out, the real move in the stock has likely already occurred.

So while we might crave certainty in our trades, we’re never going to get it. After all, that’s why it’s called speculation. Although it seems reckless, you’ve got to get comfortable with the idea of not always knowing why a particular stock is moving. If you’re always waiting for the headlines to confirm a market move, how can you ever expect to beat the herd? (more…)

Tagged with:
 

Thought of the Day (February 17, 2010)

One of the most helpful things that anybody can learn is to give up trying to catch the last eighth or the first. These two are the most expensive eighths in the world.

– Jesse Livermore, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

Tagged with:
 

Looking for something?

Use the form below to search the site:

Still not finding what you're looking for? Drop a comment on a post or contact us so we can take care of it!

Visit our friends!

A few highly recommended friends...

    © 2009 ZF Capital. All rights reserved.