Tradecraft – How to Make a Market

WHEN LOOKING AT a stock — or any security, for that matter — most people are content to focus on the price at which it last traded. And for investors with the patience to wait for a really big move, that’s generally sufficient.

But in reality, there are three prices in any given market. Market makers — those who make a living buying and selling at lightening-quick speeds — succeed or fail by looking not at stock XYZ’s last trading price, but at where it is bid and offered right now.

A quick refresher: The “bid” is the highest price to buy at any given moment; the “ask” is the lowest price to sell. So if the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures contract is quoted at 8838 bid, 8848 ask, it means the lowest offer to sell (the “ask”) one contract is 8848. If you entered a market order to buy (as most of the public does), you’d most likely be filled at the “ask.” The same applies for a market order to sell, which in this case would likely be filled at 8838.

The bid/offer is critically important to market makers because they don’t bet on direction. Unlike investors or discretionary traders, market makers profit merely by adding liquidity to a market. They bid at the bid (or slightly better) and offer at the offer (or slightly lower) and hope someone will trade with them. They aren’t out to find the next Cisco (CSCO) or Microsoft (MSFT), but rather to consistently buy and sell small price fluctuations. They want to make the spread, or the difference between the bid and the ask. In the Chicago futures pits, this is called the “edge.” (more…)

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Thought of the Day (January 25, 2010)

Trading a small account is like flying an airplane at treetop level. You have no room to maneuver, no time to think. The slightest slip of attention, a piece of bad luck, a freaky branch sticking out into the air- you crash and burn. The higher you fly, the more time you have to find your way out of trouble. Flying at low altitude is tough enough for experts, but deadly for beginners. A trader needs to gain altitude, get more equity, and buy some space for maneuvers.

– Alexander Elder, Come Into My Trading Room

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Thought of the Day (January 24, 2010)

You are entering a business that has attracted some of the sharpest minds around. All you have to do is to join them. Trading with the strong holders requires a means to determine the balance of supply and demand for an instrument in terms of professional interest, or lack of interest, in it. If you can buy when the professionals are buying (accumulating or re-accumulating) and sell when the professionals are selling (distributing or re-distributing) and you don’t try to buck the system you are following, you can be as successful aas anybody else in the market.

– Tom Williams, The Undeclared Secrets That Drive the Stock Market

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Thought of the Day (January 23, 2010)

Risk management is the most important thing to be well understood. Undertrade, undertrade, undertrade is my second piece of advice. Whatever you think your position ought to be, cut it at least in half. My experience with novice traders is that they trade 3 to 5 times too big. They are taking 5 to 10 percent risks on a trade when they should be taking 1 to 2 percent risks.

– John Percival, The Way of the Dollar

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Tradecraft – Start Making Sense

GO ON ENOUGH blind dates or business meetings and you’ll soon realize what this world really needs is something to talk about. Whether it’s a New Year’s Eve bash or a dinner party, we all tend to gravitate toward our safe list of well-rehearsed topics. They’re our “go-to” funny stories; those handy little anecdotes that always seem to pass the time during an uncomfortable pause.

The same goes in the market, where Web sites, cable news networks, message boards and always amusing analysts provide a steady stream of insight (read: banter) on everything from seasonal trends to insider buying. The problem is that while all of the cocktail chatter can be entertaining, it can also be quite distracting as well. Why? Because market experts have a knack for discussing everything besides what matters: What they’re actually doing in the market.

As we’ve written before, pundits and analysts will opine for hours on everything from the savings rate to Saddam Hussein. The idea, of course, is to seem highly credible and intelligent without actually committing to a particular point of view. Like a practiced political candidate, they excel at giving a soundbite without actually giving information. (more…)

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Thought of the Day (January 22, 2010)

Funny thing about trading to trade well: The profits add up a zillion times faster than they do when making money’s the primary goal. Why? Traders who trade to trade well cut their losses and let their winners run. They cherish and protect their principal. They leave unnecessary risks to others. They recognize whippy, choppy market conditions and stand aside, content to keep their money safe. They make no promises to anyone, including themselves, about take-home money.

– Toni Turner, A Beginner’s Guide to Day Trading Online

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